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Lehman collapse; global financial crisis; rates volatile
6.03%
Annual avg rate
30-yr fixed
-0.31pp
vs 2007
Year-over-year
1.92%
Fed funds rate
Annual avg
+3.84%
CPI inflation
Year-over-year
Estimated monthly rates based on annual averages and adjacent-year interpolation. Seasonal pattern reflects typical mortgage market spring/summer premium.
The Federal Reserve cut the fed funds rate eight times โ from 4.25% at the start of 2008 to 0.25% after the Lehman Brothers collapse in September. The Fed launched its first quantitative easing (QE1) program, purchasing $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities.
CPI reached 3.8% early in the year as oil hit $147/barrel, then collapsed to near-zero by December as the financial crisis triggered asset deflation. The year saw the most volatile inflation readings since the 1970s.
Housing prices fell 20%+ nationally โ the worst decline since the Great Depression. Foreclosures reached record levels. Subprime lending collapsed, taking Bear Stearns and Lehman with it. Mortgage rates were paradoxically volatile โ rising in Q3 amid credit panic, then falling sharply after QE1.
$1,804/mo
At 2008 rate (6.03%)
Principal + interest only
$1,964/mo
At current rate (6.84%)
Principal + interest only
$159/mo
2008 was cheaper
vs today on same loan