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Second oil shock; Volcker appointed Fed Chair
11.20%
Annual avg rate
30-yr fixed
+1.56pp
vs 1978
Year-over-year
11.20%
Fed funds rate
Annual avg
+11.25%
CPI inflation
Year-over-year
Estimated monthly rates based on annual averages and adjacent-year interpolation. Seasonal pattern reflects typical mortgage market spring/summer premium.
Paul Volcker was appointed Federal Reserve Chairman in August 1979 and immediately pivoted to aggressive monetarism. He abandoned federal funds rate targeting in favor of controlling money supply, allowing rates to spike sharply.
CPI hit 11.3% as the Iranian Revolution caused a second oil shock. Gasoline lines returned, consumer confidence collapsed, and the "misery index" (inflation + unemployment) reached record levels.
Mortgage rates surged past 10% to 11.2% by year end. Housing activity slowed dramatically. Adjustable-rate mortgages began gaining popularity as lenders sought protection from rate volatility.
$2,902/mo
At 1979 rate (11.20%)
Principal + interest only
$1,964/mo
At current rate (6.84%)
Principal + interest only
$939/mo
1979 was more expensive
vs today on same loan