Loading CalcVerseAI...
Fed pivots; three cuts; but 10-yr yields stay elevated
6.72%
Annual avg rate
30-yr fixed
-0.09pp
vs 2023
Year-over-year
5.33%
Fed funds rate
Annual avg
+2.89%
CPI inflation
Year-over-year
Estimated monthly rates based on annual averages and adjacent-year interpolation. Seasonal pattern reflects typical mortgage market spring/summer premium.
The Federal Reserve began cutting rates in September 2024, reducing the fed funds rate three times (75 bps total) to 4.25โ4.5%. However, rising US Treasury yields (driven by fiscal deficit concerns) kept mortgage rates elevated despite the Fed cuts.
CPI fell to 2.9% โ the closest to the Fed's 2% target since 2021. Core inflation remained at 3.3%, keeping the Fed cautious about the pace of additional cuts.
Despite Fed rate cuts, mortgage rates ended the year near 6.7% โ barely changed from 2023. The "lock-in effect" persisted. Housing starts rose modestly. Home prices continued rising in most markets due to tight supply.
$1,940/mo
At 2024 rate (6.72%)
Principal + interest only
$1,964/mo
At current rate (6.84%)
Principal + interest only
$24/mo
2024 was cheaper
vs today on same loan